I'll start with BJ simply because that is the game I learned first and Much of my Bac Strategy comes from BJ.
OK like Baccarat, the first thing you have to learn in BJ is the game is rigged. BJ is rigged against Basic Strategy (BS).
Basic Strategy is based on RANDOM cards. BS is the best mathematical way to play every hand IF the cards are random.
So all a casino has to do to beat BS is make sure the cards are NOT random. Casinos have know this for at least 35 years.
So they came up with a rule that says the dealer MUST pick up the break cards first and then the non break cards.
There went random. Break cards are mostly low. Non break cards are mostly high. So the cards go into the discard shoe in clumps of mostly low and mostly high. (Clumping). BS no longer works.
You don't need to take my word for this. You can see for yourself. Perfect BS players lose perfectly day in and day out when BS says they SHOULD be winning to the tune of 6%. In fact, they LOSE to the tune of 15% on average. Any casino profit report will tell you that.
If that were not true, casinos would not deal BJ. ANYone can learn BS and most play a reasonable facsimile - Yet they lose with incredible consistency and the more perfect their Basic Strategy the more perfectly they lose.
So just for the humor of it I was reading this BJ forum by a leading extremely well known BJ BS/Card Counting guru.
One of his students was complaining that while he was playing perfectly to the gurus instruction he had yet to win his first shoe.
So the Guru's reply was: "That's simple - you aren't playing a pair of 4s correctly."
See I told you it was humorous! You could play all day and never get a pair of 4s. And, even when you do. the odds are virtually the same whether you hit them or split them. Yet THAT was what was causing the player to lose every shoe! At least it was the best answer the Guru could come up with. He certainly couldn't tell the kid the truth - that BS and Card Counting DON'T WORK!
Watch my lips: BS and Card counting are wishful thinking. They haven't produced a single winner in 25 years.
Why? Because the cards aren't random! The longer a game is played and the more players in the game, the more the cards are clumped and the less BS works.
Again, don't take my word for it. Track ANY BJ game more than an hour old. If the cards were random since there are just as many low cards as high cards, highs should follow highs just as often as lows follow highs. But that's not what happens - not even close.
Highs follow highs and lows follow lows WAY more than half the time.
So OK, card ccounting gurus teach you that 2 - 6 is low; 7 - 9 is neutral and tens and aces are high.
Sure, that's a balanced count with 5 lows, 3 neutrals and 5 highs. But it's pure stupid because that's NOT the way cards actually fall.
Cards actually fall in clumps of mostly low 2 thru 7 = 6 cards
Or mostly high: 8 thru 10 = 6 cards
Because Aces can be played high or low so they can fall anytime.
Therefore count Aces low when they follow a low and high when they follow a high.
Now you have a balanced count that is meaningful because it agrees with the way cards actually fall - the way they clump.
Look, there is no such thing as a neutral card in BJ.
If you doubled on 11 and drew a 9 would you give it back? Hell no. 9s aren't neutral. THEY ARE HIGH. They run with highs and fall with highs.
Now, count any game more than an hour old. You will quickly see that highs usually follow highs and lows usually follow lows.
They sure as hell AREN'T random. Now you see for yourself why BS doesn't work! It DEPENDS on random but the cards are in fact FAR from random. See that?
BTW, if cards aren't random, what are they? The word you are searching for is PREDICTABLE.
Think about that. Forget BS! If you can predict the cards in BJ, that is FAR more accurate than BS.
You don't need to know the next card is the 4 of clubs. All you need to know is if it is likely high or low. Then hit stand or double accordingly.
Let me give you another clue. A low card clump! The dealer CAN'T break. It's impossible. Why the hell would you stand with 15???
Yet that's exactly what BS tells you to do.
BJ can be beat. But you are not going to learn how anywhere else. The game is severely rigged. What you need to learn is how to use the casino's own rigging against them.
Baccarat:
So, by the time I played my first Bac game I was already totally aware that every game, every table, in a casino is rigged. And the ONLY way to win is to use the casinos own rigging against them. I learned that beyond all doubt playing and beating BJ.
Baccarat did not dissapoint me. The first shoe I ever played had a 20 in a row in it.
Sure, the Mathematicians are right. "20 iars are perfectly possible and therefore meaningless. They don't mean a casino is cheating."
Correct, a 20iar by itself doesn't mean a casino is cheating.
But the frequency we were seeing them DOES!
A 20 iar occurs randomly once every 32000 continuous shoes.
Far less within a single shoe because a 20 iar can't start in the last 19 plays.
Don't Mathematicians understand frequency of occurrence?
In the late '80s and early '90s we were seeing 20iars on a daily basis - sometime 2 in the same shoe.
That means for an absolute fact the casinos were cheating or more politely the game was rigged.
But we learned how to beat them with up as you win Fibonacis.
We could make a quick $100,000 on every 20iar, ha and sometimes we saw 26 iars.
And as soon as we learned how to cash in on them, guess what?
They completely dissappeared from the face of the Earth.
Equally impossible BTW! IF nobody is cheating!
to be continued... gotta go eat breakfast!
OK, after a break and after rereading what I wrote about BJ, I see I failed to make my point about BJ.
My point is this: BJ can be divided into TWO game types: random and clumped.
There is a way to beat random cards. In fact there is a way to win almost every shoe.
There is also a wholly different way to beat clumped cards because they are predictable to a certain point.
But my whole point about BJ is this: from a mathematical standpoint we are starting with TWO knowns: random and clumped.
This gives me a mathematical basis for playing TWO different ways. A BJ design basis.
A way to beat both game types once you've learned how to identify the game type you are playing against.
Do they work?
Look, Basic Strategy alone beats random cards - particularly once you've learned how to find the best tables.
I don't win every shoe but I win most shoes. I've gone 16 hours W/O a losing shoe many times.
Lot's of money to be made there.
That is one game type and it can be beat with a 3 bet progression.
I start with 123 and work my way up to 146.
A 146 against new cards playing plain old BS is as close to a guaranteed win as you can get in a casino.
You just need to know a few tricks of the trade.
Then we have the other game type: Clumped.
The thing about clumped is the cards are predictable.
You know when to expect a high and when to expect a low.
You pretty much KNOW which the dealer has in the hole so you know what you are up against.
You never bet a progression against clumped cards,
You have a low bet (the table min) and a high bet.
There is a way to know which hands you are most likely to win and which you are most likely to lose
BEFORE the hand is dealt. So you have a mathematical way to know when to bet high and when to bet low.
Does it work?
I hold the world BJ record playing that way: $10,000 in less than a half hour with a highest bet of $200.
And just in case you didn't see me do it the first time, I did it again two weeks later -
both times in front of about 250 invited spectators.
So YOU might say I can beat BJ in spite of the fact the game is rigged.
No, that's not accurate. The more accurate way of putting it is this:
I can beat BJ BECAUSE the game is rigged.
The rigging of the game by the casinos gave me a basis for designing the ways I play.
Once you confine yourself to the traditional ways of playing BJ:
Basic Strategy, Card Counting, playing every hand the same way every time -
You have no chance whatsoever of beating the game.
You first have to know how to find a beatable table.
Next, how to play every hand according to the table you are playing.
And third: the best way to bet each hand at the table you are playing.
In short, you have to know how to beat the game you are in right now.
Look, I'm too old to play anymore. My day has come and gone.
But I put EVERYTHING I know about beating BJ in books:
New Blackjack (NBJ)
World Class BJ (WCB)
And First Base BJ
But here's the thing: I actually went out and did it - played BJ full time for a living. And got barred for my efforts.
Everybody who is anybody in BJ has seen me play.
Ha, they admit I win but they say I cheat!
There is no way a player can cheat in BJ. If there were, I would surely know it.
I win because I know what I'm doing. And that is what I teach.
Your internet BJ gurus that take all your money. No one has ever seen them play in a casino.
They know better.
Me, EVERYONE has seen me play.
For instance, I've never had a losing day in downtown Vegas in 30 years of play.
Who do you want teaching you?
Someone who actually did it?
Or someone nobody has ever seen playing in a real casino.
Your choice!
But my point is this:
I beat BJ because I design my play around the way the game is rigged - and THAT is what I teach.
Look, Perfect Basic Strategy gives you a KNOWN hands won rate (hit rate) of 43%.
You can't win the game starting out with a deficit that huge.
The FIRST thing you have to do is get your hands won rate ABOVE 50%.
And you can't do that when you've locked yourself in to Basic Strategy - locked in to a 43% hands won rate.
Again, Perfect Basic Strategy loses perfectly.
Shoe, you might win a shoe now and then but overall - you lose.
You have to know when to DEFY Basic Strategy.
Now we can move on to Baccarat!
Since I learned how in BJ, I play Baccarat the same way. I designed my ways of playing around the ways the game is rigged.
THAT is my point about Baccarat. To play the game successfully you must first know how it is rigged.
And then you must know how to beat that rigging.
So OK, all Mathematicians say it is impossible to beat Baccarat
AND, they are right! Except for ONE thing they don't even know exists: Casino rigging.
See, they live in the bright innocent world of Mathematics. 2+2=4
I live in the dark sinister world of casinos.
Every Baccarat game ever dealt is rigged in one of 5 ways:
1.) Choppy - You've all seen those
2.) Streaky - You've all seen those
3.) Neutral - Neither choppy or streaky
4.) Super Strong Sided - When either Bank or Player is winning the vast majority of hands - you've all seen those
5.) Super Random - All of Las Vegas BECAUSE they use factory preshuffled cards.
That's it! Every game ever dealt is one of those 5 game types.
And all 5 are highly beatable IF you know how to recognize each type and how to play each type.
Sure, the Mathematicians are right - in their make believe world.
BUT we don't play the game in a make believe world.
We play in the REAL world of casinos.
And the casinos are trying to beat us, any way and every way possible.
And they are very very good at it.
Look, it's a 50/50 game plus commission. Commission is 1.25% of the money bet.
In the make believe world of Mathematicians, 1.25% is the Mathematical rate players would lose at.
Before commission, half the player would win a little and half would lose a little.
But that is NOT what happens in the real world. In the real world, most, if not all, of the players have already lost
big time even before they pay commission. Commission is merely adding insult to injury!
Real players in the real world are victims of casino rigging. They lose far more than simple Mathematics dictates.
Look at the Baccarat profits of ANY casino. You'll quickly see I'm right if you haven't seen it already.
Baccarat profits are far higher than simple mathematics dictate.
That is because of casino rigging. Players fall fot it like lemmings.
BUT, we use it to our advantage.
We don't win in spite of rigging.
Just like BJ, we win BECAUSE of rigging.
Do you get it yet? Just like BJ, rigging is our basis for Baccarat systems design.
Does it work? Hell yes! In every single game type.
But I want to draw your attention to game type 5 above.
That one really stands out.
Right, game type 5 is the result of factory preshuffled cards. (FPC)
FPC is what is played in all of Las Vegas, all of Asia - particularly Macau,
and in most high stakes rooms in Canada and the US, and also in most Island casinos.
That's a lot of tables!
Well we have a way of beating preshuffled cards big time.
Our system MDB+ already completely designed, finalized and tested in Las Vegas,
has a 70% bet win rate and a 95% 3 bet progression win rate, right now, today, in Las Vegas.
Look, the table odds in Baccarat is a 50% bet hit rate.
The whole rest of the Baccarat world is TRYING to get to 51% , but can't seem to make it.
We are at 70%. Do the math. That gives you a 95% 3 bet progression win rate.
the highest win rate by a country mile in the entire history of Baccarat - even in the history of gambling.
Look, Perfect Basic Strategy has a 43% hit rate and tens of thousands of players play it religiously.
But only a handful of players are playing MDB+ which has a 70% hit rate.
That makes no sence whatsoever. It should be the other way around.
I simply can't understand why we don'y have thousands of players playing MDB+
It has already proven itself beyond all doubt.
Look, you CAN'T lose with a 70% bet hit rate whether you flat bet or bet a 124 neg prog like our players do.
Look, I'm not talking about a slick sales pitch.
I'm talking about a plain and simple 70% bet win rate when the whole rest of the world
can't even come up with a 51% win rate.
It is freaking simple. I could teach it to a baboon.
There are 7 rules and 7 bet triggers.
You just sit there and bet when it tells you to.
You don't need a math degree or a 160 IQ.
Just follow the 7 rules and try not to fall asleep.
Raise your unit every time you have won 20 or 30 units in the next denomination.
It won't be long before you work your way up to $5000 units.
Then your goal is a million dollars - then 2 million!
I just don't understand. Why isn't everybody in the world doing this???
I'm too old. But you guys aren't!
OK like Baccarat, the first thing you have to learn in BJ is the game is rigged. BJ is rigged against Basic Strategy (BS).
Basic Strategy is based on RANDOM cards. BS is the best mathematical way to play every hand IF the cards are random.
So all a casino has to do to beat BS is make sure the cards are NOT random. Casinos have know this for at least 35 years.
So they came up with a rule that says the dealer MUST pick up the break cards first and then the non break cards.
There went random. Break cards are mostly low. Non break cards are mostly high. So the cards go into the discard shoe in clumps of mostly low and mostly high. (Clumping). BS no longer works.
You don't need to take my word for this. You can see for yourself. Perfect BS players lose perfectly day in and day out when BS says they SHOULD be winning to the tune of 6%. In fact, they LOSE to the tune of 15% on average. Any casino profit report will tell you that.
If that were not true, casinos would not deal BJ. ANYone can learn BS and most play a reasonable facsimile - Yet they lose with incredible consistency and the more perfect their Basic Strategy the more perfectly they lose.
So just for the humor of it I was reading this BJ forum by a leading extremely well known BJ BS/Card Counting guru.
One of his students was complaining that while he was playing perfectly to the gurus instruction he had yet to win his first shoe.
So the Guru's reply was: "That's simple - you aren't playing a pair of 4s correctly."
See I told you it was humorous! You could play all day and never get a pair of 4s. And, even when you do. the odds are virtually the same whether you hit them or split them. Yet THAT was what was causing the player to lose every shoe! At least it was the best answer the Guru could come up with. He certainly couldn't tell the kid the truth - that BS and Card Counting DON'T WORK!
Watch my lips: BS and Card counting are wishful thinking. They haven't produced a single winner in 25 years.
Why? Because the cards aren't random! The longer a game is played and the more players in the game, the more the cards are clumped and the less BS works.
Again, don't take my word for it. Track ANY BJ game more than an hour old. If the cards were random since there are just as many low cards as high cards, highs should follow highs just as often as lows follow highs. But that's not what happens - not even close.
Highs follow highs and lows follow lows WAY more than half the time.
So OK, card ccounting gurus teach you that 2 - 6 is low; 7 - 9 is neutral and tens and aces are high.
Sure, that's a balanced count with 5 lows, 3 neutrals and 5 highs. But it's pure stupid because that's NOT the way cards actually fall.
Cards actually fall in clumps of mostly low 2 thru 7 = 6 cards
Or mostly high: 8 thru 10 = 6 cards
Because Aces can be played high or low so they can fall anytime.
Therefore count Aces low when they follow a low and high when they follow a high.
Now you have a balanced count that is meaningful because it agrees with the way cards actually fall - the way they clump.
Look, there is no such thing as a neutral card in BJ.
If you doubled on 11 and drew a 9 would you give it back? Hell no. 9s aren't neutral. THEY ARE HIGH. They run with highs and fall with highs.
Now, count any game more than an hour old. You will quickly see that highs usually follow highs and lows usually follow lows.
They sure as hell AREN'T random. Now you see for yourself why BS doesn't work! It DEPENDS on random but the cards are in fact FAR from random. See that?
BTW, if cards aren't random, what are they? The word you are searching for is PREDICTABLE.
Think about that. Forget BS! If you can predict the cards in BJ, that is FAR more accurate than BS.
You don't need to know the next card is the 4 of clubs. All you need to know is if it is likely high or low. Then hit stand or double accordingly.
Let me give you another clue. A low card clump! The dealer CAN'T break. It's impossible. Why the hell would you stand with 15???
Yet that's exactly what BS tells you to do.
BJ can be beat. But you are not going to learn how anywhere else. The game is severely rigged. What you need to learn is how to use the casino's own rigging against them.
Baccarat:
So, by the time I played my first Bac game I was already totally aware that every game, every table, in a casino is rigged. And the ONLY way to win is to use the casinos own rigging against them. I learned that beyond all doubt playing and beating BJ.
Baccarat did not dissapoint me. The first shoe I ever played had a 20 in a row in it.
Sure, the Mathematicians are right. "20 iars are perfectly possible and therefore meaningless. They don't mean a casino is cheating."
Correct, a 20iar by itself doesn't mean a casino is cheating.
But the frequency we were seeing them DOES!
A 20 iar occurs randomly once every 32000 continuous shoes.
Far less within a single shoe because a 20 iar can't start in the last 19 plays.
Don't Mathematicians understand frequency of occurrence?
In the late '80s and early '90s we were seeing 20iars on a daily basis - sometime 2 in the same shoe.
That means for an absolute fact the casinos were cheating or more politely the game was rigged.
But we learned how to beat them with up as you win Fibonacis.
We could make a quick $100,000 on every 20iar, ha and sometimes we saw 26 iars.
And as soon as we learned how to cash in on them, guess what?
They completely dissappeared from the face of the Earth.
Equally impossible BTW! IF nobody is cheating!
to be continued... gotta go eat breakfast!
OK, after a break and after rereading what I wrote about BJ, I see I failed to make my point about BJ.
My point is this: BJ can be divided into TWO game types: random and clumped.
There is a way to beat random cards. In fact there is a way to win almost every shoe.
There is also a wholly different way to beat clumped cards because they are predictable to a certain point.
But my whole point about BJ is this: from a mathematical standpoint we are starting with TWO knowns: random and clumped.
This gives me a mathematical basis for playing TWO different ways. A BJ design basis.
A way to beat both game types once you've learned how to identify the game type you are playing against.
Do they work?
Look, Basic Strategy alone beats random cards - particularly once you've learned how to find the best tables.
I don't win every shoe but I win most shoes. I've gone 16 hours W/O a losing shoe many times.
Lot's of money to be made there.
That is one game type and it can be beat with a 3 bet progression.
I start with 123 and work my way up to 146.
A 146 against new cards playing plain old BS is as close to a guaranteed win as you can get in a casino.
You just need to know a few tricks of the trade.
Then we have the other game type: Clumped.
The thing about clumped is the cards are predictable.
You know when to expect a high and when to expect a low.
You pretty much KNOW which the dealer has in the hole so you know what you are up against.
You never bet a progression against clumped cards,
You have a low bet (the table min) and a high bet.
There is a way to know which hands you are most likely to win and which you are most likely to lose
BEFORE the hand is dealt. So you have a mathematical way to know when to bet high and when to bet low.
Does it work?
I hold the world BJ record playing that way: $10,000 in less than a half hour with a highest bet of $200.
And just in case you didn't see me do it the first time, I did it again two weeks later -
both times in front of about 250 invited spectators.
So YOU might say I can beat BJ in spite of the fact the game is rigged.
No, that's not accurate. The more accurate way of putting it is this:
I can beat BJ BECAUSE the game is rigged.
The rigging of the game by the casinos gave me a basis for designing the ways I play.
Once you confine yourself to the traditional ways of playing BJ:
Basic Strategy, Card Counting, playing every hand the same way every time -
You have no chance whatsoever of beating the game.
You first have to know how to find a beatable table.
Next, how to play every hand according to the table you are playing.
And third: the best way to bet each hand at the table you are playing.
In short, you have to know how to beat the game you are in right now.
Look, I'm too old to play anymore. My day has come and gone.
But I put EVERYTHING I know about beating BJ in books:
New Blackjack (NBJ)
World Class BJ (WCB)
And First Base BJ
But here's the thing: I actually went out and did it - played BJ full time for a living. And got barred for my efforts.
Everybody who is anybody in BJ has seen me play.
Ha, they admit I win but they say I cheat!
There is no way a player can cheat in BJ. If there were, I would surely know it.
I win because I know what I'm doing. And that is what I teach.
Your internet BJ gurus that take all your money. No one has ever seen them play in a casino.
They know better.
Me, EVERYONE has seen me play.
For instance, I've never had a losing day in downtown Vegas in 30 years of play.
Who do you want teaching you?
Someone who actually did it?
Or someone nobody has ever seen playing in a real casino.
Your choice!
But my point is this:
I beat BJ because I design my play around the way the game is rigged - and THAT is what I teach.
Look, Perfect Basic Strategy gives you a KNOWN hands won rate (hit rate) of 43%.
You can't win the game starting out with a deficit that huge.
The FIRST thing you have to do is get your hands won rate ABOVE 50%.
And you can't do that when you've locked yourself in to Basic Strategy - locked in to a 43% hands won rate.
Again, Perfect Basic Strategy loses perfectly.
Shoe, you might win a shoe now and then but overall - you lose.
You have to know when to DEFY Basic Strategy.
Now we can move on to Baccarat!
Since I learned how in BJ, I play Baccarat the same way. I designed my ways of playing around the ways the game is rigged.
THAT is my point about Baccarat. To play the game successfully you must first know how it is rigged.
And then you must know how to beat that rigging.
So OK, all Mathematicians say it is impossible to beat Baccarat
AND, they are right! Except for ONE thing they don't even know exists: Casino rigging.
See, they live in the bright innocent world of Mathematics. 2+2=4
I live in the dark sinister world of casinos.
Every Baccarat game ever dealt is rigged in one of 5 ways:
1.) Choppy - You've all seen those
2.) Streaky - You've all seen those
3.) Neutral - Neither choppy or streaky
4.) Super Strong Sided - When either Bank or Player is winning the vast majority of hands - you've all seen those
5.) Super Random - All of Las Vegas BECAUSE they use factory preshuffled cards.
That's it! Every game ever dealt is one of those 5 game types.
And all 5 are highly beatable IF you know how to recognize each type and how to play each type.
Sure, the Mathematicians are right - in their make believe world.
BUT we don't play the game in a make believe world.
We play in the REAL world of casinos.
And the casinos are trying to beat us, any way and every way possible.
And they are very very good at it.
Look, it's a 50/50 game plus commission. Commission is 1.25% of the money bet.
In the make believe world of Mathematicians, 1.25% is the Mathematical rate players would lose at.
Before commission, half the player would win a little and half would lose a little.
But that is NOT what happens in the real world. In the real world, most, if not all, of the players have already lost
big time even before they pay commission. Commission is merely adding insult to injury!
Real players in the real world are victims of casino rigging. They lose far more than simple Mathematics dictates.
Look at the Baccarat profits of ANY casino. You'll quickly see I'm right if you haven't seen it already.
Baccarat profits are far higher than simple mathematics dictate.
That is because of casino rigging. Players fall fot it like lemmings.
BUT, we use it to our advantage.
We don't win in spite of rigging.
Just like BJ, we win BECAUSE of rigging.
Do you get it yet? Just like BJ, rigging is our basis for Baccarat systems design.
Does it work? Hell yes! In every single game type.
But I want to draw your attention to game type 5 above.
That one really stands out.
Right, game type 5 is the result of factory preshuffled cards. (FPC)
FPC is what is played in all of Las Vegas, all of Asia - particularly Macau,
and in most high stakes rooms in Canada and the US, and also in most Island casinos.
That's a lot of tables!
Well we have a way of beating preshuffled cards big time.
Our system MDB+ already completely designed, finalized and tested in Las Vegas,
has a 70% bet win rate and a 95% 3 bet progression win rate, right now, today, in Las Vegas.
Look, the table odds in Baccarat is a 50% bet hit rate.
The whole rest of the Baccarat world is TRYING to get to 51% , but can't seem to make it.
We are at 70%. Do the math. That gives you a 95% 3 bet progression win rate.
the highest win rate by a country mile in the entire history of Baccarat - even in the history of gambling.
Look, Perfect Basic Strategy has a 43% hit rate and tens of thousands of players play it religiously.
But only a handful of players are playing MDB+ which has a 70% hit rate.
That makes no sence whatsoever. It should be the other way around.
I simply can't understand why we don'y have thousands of players playing MDB+
It has already proven itself beyond all doubt.
Look, you CAN'T lose with a 70% bet hit rate whether you flat bet or bet a 124 neg prog like our players do.
Look, I'm not talking about a slick sales pitch.
I'm talking about a plain and simple 70% bet win rate when the whole rest of the world
can't even come up with a 51% win rate.
It is freaking simple. I could teach it to a baboon.
There are 7 rules and 7 bet triggers.
You just sit there and bet when it tells you to.
You don't need a math degree or a 160 IQ.
Just follow the 7 rules and try not to fall asleep.
Raise your unit every time you have won 20 or 30 units in the next denomination.
It won't be long before you work your way up to $5000 units.
Then your goal is a million dollars - then 2 million!
I just don't understand. Why isn't everybody in the world doing this???
I'm too old. But you guys aren't!
